FOREX Lower-than-expected ADP Employment and US Jobless claims data have kept the Dollar Index lower. The market now awaits the NFP data today. A weaker-than-expected level, if seen, can drag down the Dollar Index lower from current levels, delaying a break above 100 by a week or so. That keeps Euro within the 1.15-1.16 region Read More
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FOREX Lower-than-expected ADP Employment leads the Dollar Index to slip. Watch crucial support near 99.50, which needs to hold to keep the upside view intact. The index could be volatile this week with the US jobless claims data release today and NFP tomorrow. Euro can attempt to test 1.16 while USDJPY can take a breather Read More
FOREX Near-term stability can be expected in the Dollar Index, Euro, EURJPY, USDJPY, Aussie, Pound and USDINR within 100.20-99.50, 1.1550-1.15, 182-181, 158-156, 0.71-0.70, 1.35-1.34 and 95.50-95.00, respectively, before moving in a specific direction in the medium term. EURINR is likely to sustain below resistance at 100.30. RBI policy meeting is due today. Dollar Index (99.894) Read More
FOREX Recovery in the Dollar Index, USDJPY, Euro and EURJPY from sharp movements seen over the past few sessions looks relieving today. The Dollar Index can rise back towards 100.50 while Euro can fall back towards 1.14. USDJPY and EURJPY can rise back towards 159 and 184 respectively while the recovery continues to the upside. Read More
FOREX Joint US-BOJ intervention has pulled down the Dollar Index and USDJPY sharply and continues to keep the major currencies highly volatile. Supports are seen near 99.50 and 154.60, respectively, which are likely to hold and produce a decent bounce in the near term. Euro could limit its immediate upside to 1.16. EURJPY has plunged Read More
FOREX Extreme volatility hit the markets as the BOJ intervened and a mix of US data releases yesterday, with the GDP coming out lower than expected and the PCE inflation having cooled in June. USDJPY plunged to 157.95 taking down the Dollar Index to 99.85. While both have seen a good recovery from those lows, Read More
FOREX Extreme volatility hit the markets as the BOJ intervened and a mix of US data releases yesterday, with the GDP coming out lower than expected and the PCE inflation having cooled in June. USDJPY plunged to 157.95 taking down the Dollar Index to 99.85. While both have seen a good recovery from those lows, Read More
FOREX The Dollar Index fell sharply despite the fact that the FED kept rates unchanged. However, the probability of a rate hike in Sep-26 now stands at 50% from earlier 30%. The major currencies look strong against the Dollar, but this strength seems temporary as a bounce back in the Dollar Index from 100.70 would Read More
FOREX The Dollar Index holds stable ahead of the FOMC tonight. The markets expect rates to remain unchanged with a 30% probability to a surprise rate hike. We continue to look at the near-term range of 100.70-101.50 to hold for now while Euro may trade in the 1.1350-1.1420 region. EURINR trades higher today above 109 Read More
FOREX Continued decline in crude prices has led the Dollar Index to trade higher with scope to rise towards 102 soon, while Euro looks vulnerable below 1.14, towards 1.13. This keeps the EURINR at risk of slipping towards 107.50-108.50 if it sustains below 109. USDJPY remains bullish towards 164.50-165, while EURJPY can extend to 187/188 Read More
